Why Kulbhushan Jadhav’s death penalty could be a ploy​ to get ISI man back

Missing ISI man
Lt Col(Rtd) Mohammad Habib Zahir went missing from Indo-Nepal border a few days back. It’s believed that the Army officer who had worked in the ISI in the past, was lured on the pretext of a job in Nepal. Many in defense circle believe that Mohammad Habib is an important man for ISI and if he is in the hands of RAW, many of ISI’s assets in Nepal will be compromised. The whole Kulbhushan Jadhav death sentence may be orchestrated by ISPR to force India to do a spy swap before the man opens his mouth.

Is Kulbhushan Jadhav already dead?
Many, including former home secretary and BJP MP R.K. Singh,  fears that Kulbhushan Jadhav may have been murdered in prison and ISPR is making up the story of the trial to cover up this.

The trial never happened?
India was never informed about the trial and was never given consular access to Kulbhushan. India and Pakistan are bound by Geneva convention to provide consular access. There is no other record for the trial apart from the propaganda from ISPR.

Kulbhushan Jadhav was never involved in a cross-border operation?
Kulbhushan Jadhav was a Navy officer. It’s highly unlikely that RAW would send a serving officer to a hostile territory. Many former office bearers of RAW have clarified that they never send an Armed Force officer for a cross-border operation. Even if we assume Kulbhushan Jadhav is associated with RAW, he was a commander in the Navy, which is equivalent to Lt Col in the Army, so there is no chance of him participating or even handling the team at the ground level. Even if RAW had to send someone of his rank, they would have chosen the diplomatic missions. Gunter Mulack, former German ambassador to Islamabad had said he had information that Kulbhushan Jadhav was actually kidnaped by Taliban and sold to ISI. The interesting thing is, ISI didn’t reveal who all were Jadhav’s contacts in Balochistan. So far, there is no other name apart from Jadhav’s in this case. The video they released is totally out of sync. The emotions, lip movement etc were not matching with the audio. Also, Pakistan has claimed that Jadhav carried an Indian Passport, which is unlikely if he was an Indian undercover operative. The deniability something any Intelligence Agency wouldn’t want to let go in case if an agent gets caught. Also, there were stories that he got arrested when his Marathi calls were traced. That again is not something a trained undercover operative would do. It’s said that Jadhav was running a dhow business in Iran. If he was, in fact working for RAW, his job might be was to arrange safe route for the actual operatives or to keep an eye on Pakistani activity near Iran border,  which doesn’t require him to go to Pakistan or Balochistan.

Why Kulbhushan Jadhav’s death penalty could be a ploy​ to get ISI man back

Westminster attack: Why India should be worried

On Wednesday 22nd March 2017, a terrorist drove a vehicle into pedestrians on Westminster Bridge and people standing near the palace gates before fatally stabbing an unarmed police officer. The attacker was shot dead by another officer. At least four people, including the attacker, confirmed dead. At least 40 people were injured. The police believe the attacker was inspired by “international terrorism”. So far, British Police arrested 7 people linked to the attack. The attack followed the same pattern of Nice and Berlin attacks. It’s becoming evident day by day that the lone-wolf attacks are the new norm.It’s easy to execute, not much planning or training required, highly cost effective, No need for movement of people or explosives. A kitchen knife to a heavy truck can be used for the attack. Operatives can be radicalized and trained online. Most of the time, it’s hard for the intelligence agencies to track them. Israel has been dealing with it for so long. Now, Europe has started feeling the heat. India is not completely unfamiliar with the concept. In 2015, A Maharashtra constable was stabbed by a youth to avenge ‘Beef Ban’. Indian intelligence agencies have continuously warned against possible lone-wolf attacks. In counter-terrorism, Indian elite special forces are on par with any of the world’s best forces. But when it comes to these kinds of attacks, Indian cops lack training and experience compared to their western counterparts in dealing with armed assailants. And being comparatively densely populated, it’s easy to mount such an attack in India. To make matters worse, Islamic State chief Baghdadi ordered his foreign fighters to go back to their native. It’s believed that at least 73 Indians had joined ISIS. Which means, highly trained and radicalized youths who are capable of spreading the ideology may anytime return back to India. And there are self-radicalized youths and groups who pledge their allegiance to the terrorist organization.  As these people usually won’t get in touch with ISIS or any other terrorist groups, they will mostly be out of the radar of intelligence agencies. Also, agencies cannot rule out the possibility of local terrorist organizations tying up with ISIS. For instance, Lashkar-e-Taiba has sleeper cells across India, mostly in states like UP, Kerala and, Tamil Nadu. They can be mobilized without compromising the identity of the handlers.  In coming months, intelligence and policing agencies have to do an uphill task of identifying and deradicalising such potential terrorists. Considering the political climate, they cannot afford to make any mistake. A wrong person getting arrested will negate all the good work they have done and a failure in picking up someone before an attack will end up in disaster.

Westminster attack: Why India should be worried